I consider it extremely unlikely you have found renters
with the expectation of rent going down. Assuming they want to live in
a well maintained building, I consider unlikely they even desire it,
once they think about it. What renters hope for in general is
increases that are less than their increases in income. Landlords
mostly do expect that rents will go up, but the magnitude of their
expectations matters, many have the same expectations as renters for
moderate increases. Others will have short term/transactional thinking
and will want to charge what the market will bear.
This seems worth being explicit about: when I talk about how I think
rents should be lower, I really mean lower. I’m not trying to say
that it’s ok if rent keeps rising as long as incomes rise faster, but
that rents should go down.
These are on the same scale, though not adjusted for inflation (13%
from 2011-06 to 2019-06).
In 2011 a two-bedroom apartment in my part of Somerville would have
gone for $1800/month, or $2050/month in 2019 dollars. In 2019, it
would be $3000/month. Compared to 13% inflation we have 67% higher
rents.
Another way to look at this is that for what you would pay now for an
apartment a ten-minute walk from Davis would, in 2011, have covered an
apartment a ten-minute walk from Park St. And what you would have
been paying for a Harvard Sq apartment in 2011 wouldn’t get you an
East Arlington apartment today.
These large increases have been a windfall for landlords.
Property taxes haven’t risen much, upkeep is similar, but because
demand has grown so much without supply being permitted to rise to
meet it the market rent is much higher. If we build enough new
housing that rents fall to 2011 levels, landlords will make less money
than they had been hoping, but they’ll still be able to afford to
keep up their properties.
I’ll support pretty much any project that builds more bedrooms: market
rate, affordable, public, transitional. Rents are so high that all of
these would still be worth building and maintaining even if everyone
could see were were building enough housing that rents would fall next
year to 2011 levels.
As a homeowner and a landlord, I know that this means I would get less
in rent and I’m ok with that. I value a healthy community that people
can afford to live in far more than a market that pays me a lot of
money for being lucky enough to have bought a two-family at a good
time.
Rent Needs to Decrease
Link post
Here’s part of a comment I got on my housing coalitions post:
This seems worth being explicit about: when I talk about how I think rents should be lower, I really mean lower. I’m not trying to say that it’s ok if rent keeps rising as long as incomes rise faster, but that rents should go down.
Here are Boston rents in June 2011:
And in June 2019:
These are on the same scale, though not adjusted for inflation (13% from 2011-06 to 2019-06).
In 2011 a two-bedroom apartment in my part of Somerville would have gone for $1800/month, or $2050/month in 2019 dollars. In 2019, it would be $3000/month. Compared to 13% inflation we have 67% higher rents.
Another way to look at this is that for what you would pay now for an apartment a ten-minute walk from Davis would, in 2011, have covered an apartment a ten-minute walk from Park St. And what you would have been paying for a Harvard Sq apartment in 2011 wouldn’t get you an East Arlington apartment today.
These large increases have been a windfall for landlords. Property taxes haven’t risen much, upkeep is similar, but because demand has grown so much without supply being permitted to rise to meet it the market rent is much higher. If we build enough new housing that rents fall to 2011 levels, landlords will make less money than they had been hoping, but they’ll still be able to afford to keep up their properties.
I’ll support pretty much any project that builds more bedrooms: market rate, affordable, public, transitional. Rents are so high that all of these would still be worth building and maintaining even if everyone could see were were building enough housing that rents would fall next year to 2011 levels.
As a homeowner and a landlord, I know that this means I would get less in rent and I’m ok with that. I value a healthy community that people can afford to live in far more than a market that pays me a lot of money for being lucky enough to have bought a two-family at a good time.