Yep, i think that’s exactly why markets have Trump at 50% chance to win (that’s what I meant by “don’t understand how betting works). It baffles me that Zvi and Scott also have Trump at 50% chance to win though; it’s a dramatic and unjustified overcorrection.
Yep, i think that’s exactly why markets have Trump at 50% chance to win (that’s what I meant by “don’t understand how betting works). It baffles me that Zvi and Scott also have Trump at 50% chance to win though; it’s a dramatic and unjustified overcorrection.