Recommend reconsidering the 80% chance that Omicron will displace Delta.
Appears that Omicron and Delta will co-exist. Prior Delta infection clearly does not provide much protection against Omicron infection. Converse is likely, as well.
Up until now Variant-share has been winner-take-all. From now on we will have at least two.
Recommend reconsidering the 80% chance that Omicron will displace Delta.
Appears that Omicron and Delta will co-exist. Prior Delta infection clearly does not provide much protection against Omicron infection. Converse is likely, as well.
Up until now Variant-share has been winner-take-all. From now on we will have at least two.
Fair. Presume 80% for it to become majority rather than fully take over, somewhat less to go full.
BTW I did take a bet on this for $100 at 50% odds in another comment thread (operationalized as Omicron bigger than delta by end of May.)
Ouch, good point.