Longer term, homo sapiens might go extinct due to outcompetion
This. And the huge part of problem is that “longer term” may be not so long in absolute scale. It may take less than a year to switch from “trade with humans” to “disempower and enslave humans” to “replace humans with more efficient tools”.
I expect homo sapiens to be quickly outcompeted by posthumans even if we did develop friendly AI.
There are scenarios where homo sapiens are preserved in a sanctuary of various sizes and are allowed to prosper indefinitely. But, more importantly, there is a huge difference in utility between posthumans, directly descended from humanity, inhereting our values, and posthumans, which are nothing more than a swarm of insentient drones acquiring resources for calculating even more digits of pi.
This. And the huge part of problem is that “longer term” may be not so long in absolute scale. It may take less than a year to switch from “trade with humans” to “disempower and enslave humans” to “replace humans with more efficient tools”.
There are scenarios where homo sapiens are preserved in a sanctuary of various sizes and are allowed to prosper indefinitely. But, more importantly, there is a huge difference in utility between posthumans, directly descended from humanity, inhereting our values, and posthumans, which are nothing more than a swarm of insentient drones acquiring resources for calculating even more digits of pi.