Almost certainly, but the point that stationary counter-drones wouldn’t necessarily be in a symmetric situation to counter-counter-drones holds. Just swap in a different attack/defense method.
I see. The existence of the specific example caused me to interpret your post as being about a specific method, not a general strategy.
To the strategy, I say:
I’ve heard that defense is more difficult than offense. If the strategy you have defined is basically:
Original drones are offensive and counter-drones are defensive (to prevent them from attacking, presumably).
Then if what I heard was correct, this would fail. If not at first, then likely over time as technology advanced and new offensive strategies are used with the drones.
I’m not sure how to check to see if what I heard was true but if defense worked that well, we wouldn’t have war.
Offense has an advantage over defense in that defense needs to defend against more possible offensive strategies than offense needs to be capable of doing, and offense only needs one undefended plan in order to succeed.
I suspect that not-flying is a pretty big advantage, even relative to offense/defense. At the very least, moving underground (and doing hydroponics or something for food) makes drones just as offensively helpful as missles. Not flying additionally can have more energy and matter supplying whatever it is that it’s doing than flying, which allows for more exotic sensing and destructive capabilities.
Also, what’s offense and what’s defense? Anti-aircraft artillery (effective against drones? I think current air drones are optimized for use against low-tech enemies w/ few defenses) is a “defense” against ‘attack from the air’, but ‘heat-seeking AA missles’, ‘flack guns’, ‘radar-guided AA missiles’ and ‘machine gun turrets’ are all “offenses” against combat aircraft where the defenses are evasive maneuvers, altitude, armor, and chaff/flare decoys.
In WWI, defenses (machine guns and fortifications) were near-invincible, and killed attackers without time for them to retreat.
I think that current drones are pretty soft and might even be subject to hacking (seem to remember somethign about unencrypted video?) but that would change as soon as somebody starts making real countermeasures.
Almost certainly, but the point that stationary counter-drones wouldn’t necessarily be in a symmetric situation to counter-counter-drones holds. Just swap in a different attack/defense method.
I see. The existence of the specific example caused me to interpret your post as being about a specific method, not a general strategy.
To the strategy, I say:
I’ve heard that defense is more difficult than offense. If the strategy you have defined is basically:
Original drones are offensive and counter-drones are defensive (to prevent them from attacking, presumably).
Then if what I heard was correct, this would fail. If not at first, then likely over time as technology advanced and new offensive strategies are used with the drones.
I’m not sure how to check to see if what I heard was true but if defense worked that well, we wouldn’t have war.
This distinction is just flying/not-flying.
Offense has an advantage over defense in that defense needs to defend against more possible offensive strategies than offense needs to be capable of doing, and offense only needs one undefended plan in order to succeed.
I suspect that not-flying is a pretty big advantage, even relative to offense/defense. At the very least, moving underground (and doing hydroponics or something for food) makes drones just as offensively helpful as missles. Not flying additionally can have more energy and matter supplying whatever it is that it’s doing than flying, which allows for more exotic sensing and destructive capabilities.
Also, what’s offense and what’s defense? Anti-aircraft artillery (effective against drones? I think current air drones are optimized for use against low-tech enemies w/ few defenses) is a “defense” against ‘attack from the air’, but ‘heat-seeking AA missles’, ‘flack guns’, ‘radar-guided AA missiles’ and ‘machine gun turrets’ are all “offenses” against combat aircraft where the defenses are evasive maneuvers, altitude, armor, and chaff/flare decoys.
In WWI, defenses (machine guns and fortifications) were near-invincible, and killed attackers without time for them to retreat.
I think that current drones are pretty soft and might even be subject to hacking (seem to remember somethign about unencrypted video?) but that would change as soon as somebody starts making real countermeasures.