7b) Is there any evidence I’ll be glad I went that a Christian brainwashing retreat could not produce just as easily?
If you went to a Jehovah’s Witness retreat, and were in an accident, and you were conscious enough to refuse a blood transfusion, you’d be glad for having learned what you did at the retreat, even if you knew the refusal would be fatal.
In general, anything that is compelling and affects your decisions will make you glad for it, and its being compelling is probably not inversely related to its being true. So I’m not too concerned that my tentative answer to this question is “no.”
I’m concerned, however, that the camp can’t produce evidence of the kind, “Before the minicamp, Mary Sue was in rehab for crack. A year later, she’s clean and has a successful web consultancy.” (Exaggerating the expected magnitude of change, of course.) Religious retreats don’t produce this, and tend to produce results more like, “Immediately after the retreat I felt really good, and a year later I do awesome on unobservable metrics!”
Before the bootcamp, I’d just barely managed to graduate college and didn’t have the greatest prospects for finding a job. (Though to be fair, I was moving to SF and it was a CS degree.)
At the bootcamp, I founded (and then folded) a startup with other bootcampers, which was profoundly educational and cost a couple months of time and <$100.
Now, <1 year after the bootcamp, I’m doing programming and design work on the new SimCity, which is as close to a dream job for me as could reasonably be expected to exist.
I can’t attribute all my recent success to the bootcamp, because I was pretty awesome beforehand, but it really did dramatically improve my effectiveness in a number of domains (my girlfriend is grateful for the fashion tips I picked up, for example). Other specific things I’ve found useful include meditation, value of information calculations, and rejection therapy.
“Is there evidence this will be worthwhile according to my values now, independently of how it might change my values?”
“Is there evidence that this is instrumentally useful for more than warm fuzzies?”
“Is there evidence that for the probable benefit of this event the costs are substantially optimized for it? I.e., if the benefit is substantially social, even if this would be worth flying around the world for, a program could actually be optimized for social benefits, and/or I could attend a closer/cheaper/shorter program with similar benefits to me.”
“Regardless of anyone’s intent, what is this program optimized for?”
If you went to a Jehovah’s Witness retreat, and were in an accident, and you were conscious enough to refuse a blood transfusion, you’d be glad for having learned what you did at the retreat, even if you knew the refusal would be fatal.
In general, anything that is compelling and affects your decisions will make you glad for it, and its being compelling is probably not inversely related to its being true. So I’m not too concerned that my tentative answer to this question is “no.”
I’m concerned, however, that the camp can’t produce evidence of the kind, “Before the minicamp, Mary Sue was in rehab for crack. A year later, she’s clean and has a successful web consultancy.” (Exaggerating the expected magnitude of change, of course.) Religious retreats don’t produce this, and tend to produce results more like, “Immediately after the retreat I felt really good, and a year later I do awesome on unobservable metrics!”
Before the bootcamp, I’d just barely managed to graduate college and didn’t have the greatest prospects for finding a job. (Though to be fair, I was moving to SF and it was a CS degree.)
At the bootcamp, I founded (and then folded) a startup with other bootcampers, which was profoundly educational and cost a couple months of time and <$100.
Now, <1 year after the bootcamp, I’m doing programming and design work on the new SimCity, which is as close to a dream job for me as could reasonably be expected to exist.
I can’t attribute all my recent success to the bootcamp, because I was pretty awesome beforehand, but it really did dramatically improve my effectiveness in a number of domains (my girlfriend is grateful for the fashion tips I picked up, for example). Other specific things I’ve found useful include meditation, value of information calculations, and rejection therapy.
Replace “glad I went” with a better criterion- that question deserves a good response.
“Is there evidence this will be worthwhile according to my values now, independently of how it might change my values?”
“Is there evidence that this is instrumentally useful for more than warm fuzzies?”
“Is there evidence that for the probable benefit of this event the costs are substantially optimized for it? I.e., if the benefit is substantially social, even if this would be worth flying around the world for, a program could actually be optimized for social benefits, and/or I could attend a closer/cheaper/shorter program with similar benefits to me.”
“Regardless of anyone’s intent, what is this program optimized for?”
“How’s the food?”