I don’t think the big diagram is ‘a good idea’. ‘Making a big diagram’ is a good idea.
That’s a very reasonable distinction. But then—bringing the analogy back to the motivating example of thyroid-y things—why not say ‘these symptoms are caused by deficiency of, or insensitivity to, thyroid hormones’ and ‘these symptoms are caused by [INSANELY COMPLEX EXPLANATION WE DON’T ACTUALLY HAVE GOES HERE]’ are not ‘good ideas’—the good idea is something like ‘figuring out what causes the symptoms’?
I mean, isn’t that pretty much the level of abstraction that corresponds to “making a big diagram”?
I just like teleological thinking
Fair enough, I guess. It does seem that our brains are designed to … ahem, I mean are pretty good at analysing things in terms of purposes, so thinking that way may be a useful hack. But you need to be awfully careful about it, as those historical sillinesses show.
(You can use infinitesimals just fine if you do it in terms of nonstandard analysis, which tells you exactly what you need to be careful about when doing so.)
I want to back off from ‘All the good ideas have turned out to be simple’, I think that was a rhetorical flourish too far, and I think you were right to call bullshit.
I bet there are good ideas that aren’t that simple, like e.g. the monster group or quantum chromodynamics. Neither of which I understand well enough to see whether they’re actually simple, or inherently complex. But either way, it seems unlikely that the degree of complexity that fits happily in a human mind is also a limit on the complexity of ideas used in the construction of the world.
But I also want to defend:
‘these symptoms are caused by deficiency of, or insensitivity to, thyroid hormones’
As a really simple idea that makes lots of predictions about real experiments that can be done.
Do you really think it isn’t, or are we just arguing about ‘All the good ideas have turned out to be simple’? If the latter, then you win. You were right and I was wrong. Thank you for the lesson!
That’s a very reasonable distinction. But then—bringing the analogy back to the motivating example of thyroid-y things—why not say ‘these symptoms are caused by deficiency of, or insensitivity to, thyroid hormones’ and ‘these symptoms are caused by [INSANELY COMPLEX EXPLANATION WE DON’T ACTUALLY HAVE GOES HERE]’ are not ‘good ideas’—the good idea is something like ‘figuring out what causes the symptoms’?
I mean, isn’t that pretty much the level of abstraction that corresponds to “making a big diagram”?
Fair enough, I guess. It does seem that our brains are designed to … ahem, I mean are pretty good at analysing things in terms of purposes, so thinking that way may be a useful hack. But you need to be awfully careful about it, as those historical sillinesses show.
(You can use infinitesimals just fine if you do it in terms of nonstandard analysis, which tells you exactly what you need to be careful about when doing so.)
I want to back off from ‘All the good ideas have turned out to be simple’, I think that was a rhetorical flourish too far, and I think you were right to call bullshit.
I bet there are good ideas that aren’t that simple, like e.g. the monster group or quantum chromodynamics. Neither of which I understand well enough to see whether they’re actually simple, or inherently complex. But either way, it seems unlikely that the degree of complexity that fits happily in a human mind is also a limit on the complexity of ideas used in the construction of the world.
But I also want to defend: ‘these symptoms are caused by deficiency of, or insensitivity to, thyroid hormones’
As a really simple idea that makes lots of predictions about real experiments that can be done.
Do you really think it isn’t, or are we just arguing about ‘All the good ideas have turned out to be simple’? If the latter, then you win. You were right and I was wrong. Thank you for the lesson!
As far as I’m concerned, we were just arguing about “All the good ideas have turned out to be simple”.
(But if I was right and you were wrong, then you win because you’ve learned more than I have :-).)
Indeed! I am properly grateful.
[EDITED to remove now-merely-confusing comments on something JLA has now removed from the parent comment.]
edited