If he exists, and if he pops in from time to time to perform miracles, then we should see some evidence of him doing that.
Well, unless from time to time means “once every couple of millennia”… (Though Occam’s razor says you should assign a very small prior to that.)
Right. As the miracle events become more and more rare, our probability estimate of their existence becomes lower and lower—in the absence of some direct evidence, that is. This is why we believe in meteorite impacts, but not in resurrections.
Well, unless from time to time means “once every couple of millennia”… (Though Occam’s razor says you should assign a very small prior to that.)
Right. As the miracle events become more and more rare, our probability estimate of their existence becomes lower and lower—in the absence of some direct evidence, that is. This is why we believe in meteorite impacts, but not in resurrections.