If you polled only people who saw your Twitter poll, that is a highly biased group, in that everyone polled had heard of you, and probably had heard your reporting on how bad it was in New York. A huge number of people did not actually hear that news in the first place, so would be highly unlikely to think NY was hardest hit.
The second wave happened around June, which isn’t autumn. The third wave started in Autumn, but didn’t peak until Winter. So I would have rated that one False on all counts for getting the timing wrong.
Plausible that it was somewhat biased, and I would be happy to have others run the same poll with a different group to verify the result, but I do think it establishes that the result is at least ambiguous.
That’s quite the nitpick. I like it. Technically, yes it did say ‘second’ and as I noted, parlays are really hard to win, but I didn’t interpret the word second there as doing enough work, slash there’s dispute over whether the middle wave counts as a wave. I think it’s better to take my licks here.
Two notes:
If you polled only people who saw your Twitter poll, that is a highly biased group, in that everyone polled had heard of you, and probably had heard your reporting on how bad it was in New York. A huge number of people did not actually hear that news in the first place, so would be highly unlikely to think NY was hardest hit.
The second wave happened around June, which isn’t autumn. The third wave started in Autumn, but didn’t peak until Winter. So I would have rated that one False on all counts for getting the timing wrong.
Plausible that it was somewhat biased, and I would be happy to have others run the same poll with a different group to verify the result, but I do think it establishes that the result is at least ambiguous.
That’s quite the nitpick. I like it. Technically, yes it did say ‘second’ and as I noted, parlays are really hard to win, but I didn’t interpret the word second there as doing enough work, slash there’s dispute over whether the middle wave counts as a wave. I think it’s better to take my licks here.