is not a well supported statement. Two main trends argue against this
1 with technological gaps the number of center is th number of agents with tech
In lots of colonies there were many centers of power, then colonists with guns landed and there was 1 center.
Post ww2 the us had the bomb and strategic superiority. The soviets matched tech and there were two power centers.
When Britan ruled the seas there was one major naval power
In many developing nations in the cold war there were 2 powers centers that corresponded to us and soviet supplied arms.
It’s not crazy to think AI or whatever technology it can invent as being another instance of tech superiority reducing the number of power centers
Tech also seems quite vulnerable to monocultures. Think of file formats, for example. In the early days there are often several formats, but after a while most of them go extinct and the survivors end up being universally used. Image display formats, for example, fall largely into two categories—formats that every computer knows how to display, and formats that hardly anybody uses at all. (Image editing formats are different, I know.) How many word processors have you used recently that can’t support .doc format ?
The most likely scenario is that there will be only one center of intelligence, and that although the intelligence isn’t really there yet, the center is. You’re using it now.
is not a well supported statement. Two main trends argue against this
1 with technological gaps the number of center is th number of agents with tech
In lots of colonies there were many centers of power, then colonists with guns landed and there was 1 center. Post ww2 the us had the bomb and strategic superiority. The soviets matched tech and there were two power centers. When Britan ruled the seas there was one major naval power In many developing nations in the cold war there were 2 powers centers that corresponded to us and soviet supplied arms.
It’s not crazy to think AI or whatever technology it can invent as being another instance of tech superiority reducing the number of power centers
Tech also seems quite vulnerable to monocultures. Think of file formats, for example. In the early days there are often several formats, but after a while most of them go extinct and the survivors end up being universally used. Image display formats, for example, fall largely into two categories—formats that every computer knows how to display, and formats that hardly anybody uses at all. (Image editing formats are different, I know.) How many word processors have you used recently that can’t support .doc format ?
The most likely scenario is that there will be only one center of intelligence, and that although the intelligence isn’t really there yet, the center is. You’re using it now.