Tech also seems quite vulnerable to monocultures. Think of file formats, for example. In the early days there are often several formats, but after a while most of them go extinct and the survivors end up being universally used. Image display formats, for example, fall largely into two categories—formats that every computer knows how to display, and formats that hardly anybody uses at all. (Image editing formats are different, I know.) How many word processors have you used recently that can’t support .doc format ?
The most likely scenario is that there will be only one center of intelligence, and that although the intelligence isn’t really there yet, the center is. You’re using it now.
Tech also seems quite vulnerable to monocultures. Think of file formats, for example. In the early days there are often several formats, but after a while most of them go extinct and the survivors end up being universally used. Image display formats, for example, fall largely into two categories—formats that every computer knows how to display, and formats that hardly anybody uses at all. (Image editing formats are different, I know.) How many word processors have you used recently that can’t support .doc format ?
The most likely scenario is that there will be only one center of intelligence, and that although the intelligence isn’t really there yet, the center is. You’re using it now.