Yes, pausing then (or a bit before then) would be the sane thing to do. Unfortunately there are multiple powerful groups racing, so even if one does the right thing, the others might not. (That said, I do not think this excuses/justifies racing forward. If the leading lab gets up to the brink of AGI and then pauses and pivots to a combo of safety research + raising awareness + reaping benefits + coordinating with government and society to prevent others from building dangerously powerful AI, then that means they are behaving responsibly in my book, possibly even admirably.)
I chose my words there carefully—I said “could” not “would.” That said by default I expect them to get to ASI quickly due to various internal biases and external pressures.
Yes, pausing then (or a bit before then) would be the sane thing to do. Unfortunately there are multiple powerful groups racing, so even if one does the right thing, the others might not. (That said, I do not think this excuses/justifies racing forward. If the leading lab gets up to the brink of AGI and then pauses and pivots to a combo of safety research + raising awareness + reaping benefits + coordinating with government and society to prevent others from building dangerously powerful AI, then that means they are behaving responsibly in my book, possibly even admirably.)
I chose my words there carefully—I said “could” not “would.” That said by default I expect them to get to ASI quickly due to various internal biases and external pressures.