I speculate that drone production in the Ukraine war is ramping up exponentially and will continue to do so. This means that however much it feels like the war is all about drones right now, it’ll feel much more that way a year from now. Both sides will be regularly sending flocks of shahed-equivalents at each other, both sides will have reinvented tactics to center around FPV kamikaze drones, etc. Maybe we’ll even see specialized anti-drone drones dogfighting with each other, though since there aren’t any of those yet they won’t have appeared in large numbers.
I guess this will result in the “no man’s land” widening even further, to like 10km or so. (That’s about the maximum range of current FPV kamikaze drones)
I speculate that drone production in the Ukraine war is ramping up exponentially and will continue to do so. This means that however much it feels like the war is all about drones right now, it’ll feel much more that way a year from now. Both sides will be regularly sending flocks of shahed-equivalents at each other, both sides will have reinvented tactics to center around FPV kamikaze drones, etc. Maybe we’ll even see specialized anti-drone drones dogfighting with each other, though since there aren’t any of those yet they won’t have appeared in large numbers.
I guess this will result in the “no man’s land” widening even further, to like 10km or so. (That’s about the maximum range of current FPV kamikaze drones)
On second thought, maybe it’s already 10km wide for all I know. Hmm. Well, however wide it is now, I speculate it’ll be wider this time next year.
Article about drone production, with estimates: https://en.defence-ua.com/industries/million_drones_a_year_sounds_plausible_now_ukraine_has_produced_200000_in_the_past_two_months-9693.html