I feel optimistic that if he had spent a lot more time reading, talking, and thinking carefully about it, he would have concluded that founding OpenAI was a bad idea. (Or else maybe it’s actually a good idea and I’m wrong.)
Can you say more about what you have in mind here? Do you think his values are such that it actually was a good idea by his lights? Or do you think it’s just so hard to figure this stuff out that thinking more about it wouldn’t have helped?
How much thinking/researching would have been necessary to avoid the failure?
5 hours? 5 days? 5 years? 50? What does it take to not make a mistake? (Or just, that one in particular?)
Expanding on what you said:
Or do you think it’s just so hard to figure this stuff out that thinking more about it wouldn’t have helped?
Is it a mistake that wouldn’t have been solved that way? (Or...solved that way easily? Or another way that would have fixed that problem faster?)
For research to trivially solve a problem, it has...someone pointing out it’s a bad idea. (Maybe talking with someone and having them say _ is the fix.)
I feel optimistic that if he had spent a lot more time reading, talking, and thinking carefully about it, he would have concluded that founding OpenAI was a bad idea. (Or else maybe it’s actually a good idea and I’m wrong.)
Can you say more about what you have in mind here? Do you think his values are such that it actually was a good idea by his lights? Or do you think it’s just so hard to figure this stuff out that thinking more about it wouldn’t have helped?
My point was just:
How much thinking/researching would have been necessary to avoid the failure?
5 hours? 5 days? 5 years? 50? What does it take to not make a mistake? (Or just, that one in particular?)
Expanding on what you said:
Is it a mistake that wouldn’t have been solved that way? (Or...solved that way easily? Or another way that would have fixed that problem faster?)
For research to trivially solve a problem, it has...someone pointing out it’s a bad idea. (Maybe talking with someone and having them say _ is the fix.)