A nice thing about being a fan of Metaculus for years is that I now have hard evidence of what I thought about various topics back in the day. It’s interesting to look back on it years later. Case in point: Small circles are my forecasts:
The change was, I imagine, almost entirely driven by the update in my timelines.
A nice thing about being a fan of Metaculus for years is that I now have hard evidence of what I thought about various topics back in the day. It’s interesting to look back on it years later. Case in point: Small circles are my forecasts:
The change was, I imagine, almost entirely driven by the update in my timelines.