Registering a prediction: I do NOT think the true Turing Test will be passed prior to the point of no return / powerbase ability / AGI / APS-AI. I think instead that even as things go off the rails and humans lose control, the TT will still be unpassed, because there’ll still be some obscure ‘gotcha’ areas in which AIs are subhuman, if only due to lack of training in those areas. And that’s enough for the judge to distinguish the AI from the human.
Agree. Though I don’t think Turing ever intended that test to be used. I think what he wanted to accomplish with his paper was to operationalize “intelligence”. When he published it, if you asked somebody “Could a computer be intelligent?”, they’d have responded with a religious argument about it not having a soul, or free will, or consciousness. Turing sneakily got people to look past their metaphysics, and ask the question in terms of the computer program’s behavior. THAT was what was significant about that paper.
Thanks Daniel, that’s good to know. Sam Altman’s tweeting has been concerning lately. But it would seem that with a fixed size content window you won’t be able to pass a true Turing test.
Registering a prediction: I do NOT think the true Turing Test will be passed prior to the point of no return / powerbase ability / AGI / APS-AI. I think instead that even as things go off the rails and humans lose control, the TT will still be unpassed, because there’ll still be some obscure ‘gotcha’ areas in which AIs are subhuman, if only due to lack of training in those areas. And that’s enough for the judge to distinguish the AI from the human.
Agree. Though I don’t think Turing ever intended that test to be used. I think what he wanted to accomplish with his paper was to operationalize “intelligence”. When he published it, if you asked somebody “Could a computer be intelligent?”, they’d have responded with a religious argument about it not having a soul, or free will, or consciousness. Turing sneakily got people to look past their metaphysics, and ask the question in terms of the computer program’s behavior. THAT was what was significant about that paper.
(I’ve thought this for years but figured I should state it for the record. It’s also not an original thought, probably others have said it before me.)
Thanks Daniel, that’s good to know. Sam Altman’s tweeting has been concerning lately. But it would seem that with a fixed size content window you won’t be able to pass a true Turing test.