I assume China is at least doing a cost-benefit—it’s risky and expensive to do the vaccinations, and it’s not a great source of information on whether it works, so the benefits at that scale are mostly because you think it will likely work. I agree that it’s much less evidence than if e.g. Germany were doing it!
I dunno if seeing sports played to empty stadiums signals much of a return to normality. I agree that sports shutting down was a big wake-up call, and helped a lot, but I think every game will have a definite air of ‘things are not normal’ when they pan to empty fan sections, see the sidelines full of masks and distancing, and talk about which teams have had testing concerns. It might even model good behavior.
Ah ok, I wasn’t thinking about that part. I assumed that it would be trivial in comparison to the prestige and money they’d get if it worked. I was thinking more about how much they care about harming people.
I dunno if seeing sports played to empty stadiums signals much of a return to normality.
My guess is that even with the empty stadiums it would be at least a moderate push for people away from being careful, but I don’t feel particularly confident in that.
I assume China is at least doing a cost-benefit—it’s risky and expensive to do the vaccinations, and it’s not a great source of information on whether it works, so the benefits at that scale are mostly because you think it will likely work. I agree that it’s much less evidence than if e.g. Germany were doing it!
I dunno if seeing sports played to empty stadiums signals much of a return to normality. I agree that sports shutting down was a big wake-up call, and helped a lot, but I think every game will have a definite air of ‘things are not normal’ when they pan to empty fan sections, see the sidelines full of masks and distancing, and talk about which teams have had testing concerns. It might even model good behavior.
Ah ok, I wasn’t thinking about that part. I assumed that it would be trivial in comparison to the prestige and money they’d get if it worked. I was thinking more about how much they care about harming people.
My guess is that even with the empty stadiums it would be at least a moderate push for people away from being careful, but I don’t feel particularly confident in that.