By the way, where’s this number coming from? (10^30 FLOP) You keep repeating it.
Extremely rough and slightly conservatively small ball park number for how many FLOP will be used to create powerful AIs. The idea being that this will represent roughly how many FLOP could plausibly be available at the time.
GPT-4 is ~10^26 FLOP, I expect GPT-7 is maybe 10^30 FLOP.
Perhaps this is a bit too much because the scheming AI will have access to far few FLOP than exist at the time, but I expect this isn’t cruxy, so I just did a vague guess.
Extremely rough and slightly conservatively small ball park number for how many FLOP will be used to create powerful AIs. The idea being that this will represent roughly how many FLOP could plausibly be available at the time.
GPT-4 is ~10^26 FLOP, I expect GPT-7 is maybe 10^30 FLOP.
Perhaps this is a bit too much because the scheming AI will have access to far few FLOP than exist at the time, but I expect this isn’t cruxy, so I just did a vague guess.