This seems highly plausible to me. It would be interesting to see something that more closely tracks different kinds of innovation—for example, how do hygiene and vaccinations (which stop dying) compare to domesticated crops and irrigation (which increase productivity directly) in terms of population growth?
Faster growth rates means more money means more AIs researching new technology means even faster growth rates, and so on to infinity.
My prior is that this will not require anywhere near human-level intelligence. I firmly expect this can be accomplished with the kind of AI we already possess, in tandem with certain imminent kinds of automation.
This seems highly plausible to me. It would be interesting to see something that more closely tracks different kinds of innovation—for example, how do hygiene and vaccinations (which stop dying) compare to domesticated crops and irrigation (which increase productivity directly) in terms of population growth?
My prior is that this will not require anywhere near human-level intelligence. I firmly expect this can be accomplished with the kind of AI we already possess, in tandem with certain imminent kinds of automation.