A reckless China-US race is far less inevitable than Leopold portrayed in his situational awareness report. We’re not yet in a second Cold War, and as things get crazier and leaders get more stressed, a “we’re all riding the same tiger” mentality becomes plausible.
I don’t really get why people keep saying this. They do realize that the US’s foreign policy starting in ~2010 has been to treat China as an adversary, right? To the extent that they arguably created the enemy they feared within just a couple of years? And that China is not in fact going to back down because it’d be really, really nice of them if they did, or because they’re currently on the back foot with respect to AI?
At some point, “what if China decides that the west’s chip advantage is unacceptable and glasses Taiwan and/or Korea about it” becomes a possible future outcome worth tracking. It’s not a nice or particularly long one, but “flip the table” is always on the table.
Leopold’s is just one potential unfolding, but a strikingly plausible one. Reading it feels like getting early access to Szilard’s letter in 1939.
What, and that triggered no internal valence-washing alarms in you?
Getting a 4.18 means that a majority of your grades were A+, and that is if every grade was no worse than an A. I got plenty of As, but I got maybe one A+. They do not happen by accident.
One knows how the game is played; and is curious on whether he took Calc I at Columbia (say). Obviously not sufficient, but there’s kinds and kinds of 4.18 GPAs.
I don’t really get why people keep saying this. They do realize that the US’s foreign policy starting in ~2010 has been to treat China as an adversary, right? To the extent that they arguably created the enemy they feared within just a couple of years? And that China is not in fact going to back down because it’d be really, really nice of them if they did, or because they’re currently on the back foot with respect to AI?
At some point, “what if China decides that the west’s chip advantage is unacceptable and glasses Taiwan and/or Korea about it” becomes a possible future outcome worth tracking. It’s not a nice or particularly long one, but “flip the table” is always on the table.
What, and that triggered no internal valence-washing alarms in you?
One knows how the game is played; and is curious on whether he took Calc I at Columbia (say). Obviously not sufficient, but there’s kinds and kinds of 4.18 GPAs.