If Sleeping Beauty doesn’t know what day it is, what could possibly motivate her to say that the probability of heads is something other than 50%? I mean, she knows nothing about the coin except that it’s round and shiny, and the metal costs more than the coin does.
Unless I misunderstood, this problem is smoke and mirrors.
If Sleeping Beauty doesn’t know what day it is, what could possibly motivate her to say that the probability of heads is something other than 50%? I mean, she knows nothing about the coin except that it’s round and shiny, and the metal costs more than the coin does.
Unless I misunderstood, this problem is smoke and mirrors.
If she thinks she will be asked what the coin shows more times if it is tails.