It’s wrong to have absolute confidence in anything. You can’t prove that you are not in a simulation, so you can’t have absolute confidence that there is any real physics.
Of course, I didn’t base anything on absolute confidence.
You can put forward a story where expressions of subjective experience are caused by atoms, and subjective experience itself isn’t mentioned.
I can put forward a story where ouches are caused by pains, and atoms aren’t explicitly mentioned.
Of course you now want to say that the atoms are still there and playing a causal role, but have gone out of focus because I am using high level descriptions. But then I could say that subjective states are identical to aggregates of atoms, and therefore have identical caudal powers.
Multiple explanations are always possible, but aren’t necessarily about rival ontologies
About 95%. Because philosophy is easy* and full of obvious confusions.
(* After all, anyone can do it well enough that they can’t see their own mistakes. And with a little more effort, you can’t even see your mistakes when they’re pointed out to you. That’s, like, the definition of easy, right?)
95% isn’t all that high a confidence, if we put aside “how dare you rate yourself so highly?” type arguments for a bit. I wouldn’t trust a parachute that had a 95% chance of opening. Most of the remaining 5% is not dualism being true or us needing a new kind of science, it’s just me having misunderstood something important.
It’s wrong to have absolute confidence in anything. You can’t prove that you are not in a simulation, so you can’t have absolute confidence that there is any real physics.
Of course, I didn’t base anything on absolute confidence.
You can put forward a story where expressions of subjective experience are caused by atoms, and subjective experience itself isn’t mentioned.
I can put forward a story where ouches are caused by pains, and atoms aren’t explicitly mentioned.
Of course you now want to say that the atoms are still there and playing a causal role, but have gone out of focus because I am using high level descriptions. But then I could say that subjective states are identical to aggregates of atoms, and therefore have identical caudal powers.
Multiple explanations are always possible, but aren’t necessarily about rival ontologies
Anyhow, I agree that we have long since been rehashing standard arguments here :P
How likely is it that you would have solved the Hard Problem? Why do people think philosophy is easy, or full of obvious confusions?
About 95%. Because philosophy is easy* and full of obvious confusions.
(* After all, anyone can do it well enough that they can’t see their own mistakes. And with a little more effort, you can’t even see your mistakes when they’re pointed out to you. That’s, like, the definition of easy, right?)
95% isn’t all that high a confidence, if we put aside “how dare you rate yourself so highly?” type arguments for a bit. I wouldn’t trust a parachute that had a 95% chance of opening. Most of the remaining 5% is not dualism being true or us needing a new kind of science, it’s just me having misunderstood something important.