About 95%. Because philosophy is easy* and full of obvious confusions.
(* After all, anyone can do it well enough that they can’t see their own mistakes. And with a little more effort, you can’t even see your mistakes when they’re pointed out to you. That’s, like, the definition of easy, right?)
95% isn’t all that high a confidence, if we put aside “how dare you rate yourself so highly?” type arguments for a bit. I wouldn’t trust a parachute that had a 95% chance of opening. Most of the remaining 5% is not dualism being true or us needing a new kind of science, it’s just me having misunderstood something important.
How likely is it that you would have solved the Hard Problem? Why do people think philosophy is easy, or full of obvious confusions?
About 95%. Because philosophy is easy* and full of obvious confusions.
(* After all, anyone can do it well enough that they can’t see their own mistakes. And with a little more effort, you can’t even see your mistakes when they’re pointed out to you. That’s, like, the definition of easy, right?)
95% isn’t all that high a confidence, if we put aside “how dare you rate yourself so highly?” type arguments for a bit. I wouldn’t trust a parachute that had a 95% chance of opening. Most of the remaining 5% is not dualism being true or us needing a new kind of science, it’s just me having misunderstood something important.