Curated. Prediction markets have for a long time been a widely discussed topic on LessWrong, and this is one of the best analyses I’ve read on the topic. I like how it’s a mixture between epistemically useful, and actionable for anyone who wants to work on stuff related to prediction markets and generally building markets to improve information flows.
I do think it could benefit from some better formatting, and maybe reference some of the existing writing on prediction markets on LW and other places, such that interested people can find more resources. But overall I am quite happy about the post.
Agreed that I could (and probably still should) work on the formatting a bit, and consider adding references to other posts; if people have suggestions for what we should link to, I’ll consider adding that.
Curated. Prediction markets have for a long time been a widely discussed topic on LessWrong, and this is one of the best analyses I’ve read on the topic. I like how it’s a mixture between epistemically useful, and actionable for anyone who wants to work on stuff related to prediction markets and generally building markets to improve information flows.
I do think it could benefit from some better formatting, and maybe reference some of the existing writing on prediction markets on LW and other places, such that interested people can find more resources. But overall I am quite happy about the post.
The LessWrong wiki has some references for interested newcomers.
Seems like linking to the wiki is a good thing to do here, then? Seems about right.
Agreed that I could (and probably still should) work on the formatting a bit, and consider adding references to other posts; if people have suggestions for what we should link to, I’ll consider adding that.