The current economics “board” has every power with enough GDP to potentially build AGI/ASI protected by their own nuclear weapons or mutual defense treaties.
So the party considering a first strike has “national death and loss of all major cities” and “under the sword of the adversary” as their outcomes. As well as the always hopeful “maybe the adversary won’t actually attack but get what they want via international treaties” as outcomes.
Put this way it looks more favorable not to push the button, let me know how your analysis differs.
The current economics “board” has every power with enough GDP to potentially build AGI/ASI protected by their own nuclear weapons or mutual defense treaties.
So the party considering a first strike has “national death and loss of all major cities” and “under the sword of the adversary” as their outcomes. As well as the always hopeful “maybe the adversary won’t actually attack but get what they want via international treaties” as outcomes.
Put this way it looks more favorable not to push the button, let me know how your analysis differs.