Good points; those do seem to be cases in which Hanson comes out better. As you say, it comes down to how heavily you weight the stuff Yudkowsky beat Hanson on vs. the stuff Hanson beat Yudkowsky on. I also want to reiterate that I think Yudkowsky is being obnoxious.
(I also agree that the historical bio anchors people did remarkably well & much better than Yudkowsky.)
Note that I feel like, if we look at the overall disagreements in 2008, Eliezer’s view overall seems better than Robin’s. So I think we’re probably on the same page here.
Good points; those do seem to be cases in which Hanson comes out better. As you say, it comes down to how heavily you weight the stuff Yudkowsky beat Hanson on vs. the stuff Hanson beat Yudkowsky on. I also want to reiterate that I think Yudkowsky is being obnoxious.
(I also agree that the historical bio anchors people did remarkably well & much better than Yudkowsky.)
Note that I feel like, if we look at the overall disagreements in 2008, Eliezer’s view overall seems better than Robin’s. So I think we’re probably on the same page here.