There are further shards of a track record strewn across the internet:
The bets registry shows two bets lost by Eliezer Yudkowsky, none won
The public figure profile on Metaculus has no resolved predictions yet
Might be worth noting the odds for people who don’t click through: these were at 1:1 and 1:20 (his 1 to Gwern’s 20).
There are further shards of a track record strewn across the internet:
The bets registry shows two bets lost by Eliezer Yudkowsky, none won
The public figure profile on Metaculus has no resolved predictions yet
Might be worth noting the odds for people who don’t click through: these were at 1:1 and 1:20 (his 1 to Gwern’s 20).