Upvoted—I agree that that bet they made should be included in the post, around when I’m mentioning how Eliezer told Paul he doesn’t have “a track record like this”. He did decline to bet Paul in that comment I am quoting, claiming Paul “didn’t need to bet him”. But you are right that it’s wrong not to include the bet they do have going, and not just the one with Bryan Caplan. I’ve made some edits to include it.
Upvoted—I agree that that bet they made should be included in the post, around when I’m mentioning how Eliezer told Paul he doesn’t have “a track record like this”. He did decline to bet Paul in that comment I am quoting, claiming Paul “didn’t need to bet him”. But you are right that it’s wrong not to include the bet they do have going, and not just the one with Bryan Caplan. I’ve made some edits to include it.