the fraction of global economic activity attributable to autonomous AI systems will rise
I thought a bit about this, but haven’t figured it out: how can this be measured? if AI is commoditized, AI companies won’t make a profit from it. AI researchers might make more money, but likely not more than however much it would cost to train more AI researchers (or something like that). maybe we can see which industries have their price reduced because of AI, and count this as a lower bound for the consumer surplus created by AI. what else?
I thought a bit about this, but haven’t figured it out: how can this be measured? if AI is commoditized, AI companies won’t make a profit from it. AI researchers might make more money, but likely not more than however much it would cost to train more AI researchers (or something like that). maybe we can see which industries have their price reduced because of AI, and count this as a lower bound for the consumer surplus created by AI. what else?