Could you say more about how the TDT voting analysis would go, and what its pieces would be?
I don’t know. I know that CDT commits irrecoverable error, but not how to understand the problem. (I can guess that my decision probably makes a difference of 0.01 to 20% in a two-choice vote of the typical kind, but this is not based on explicit analysis, hence wide interval.)
That I don’t know how to solve the problem doesn’t license me to privilege a “solution” that is known to be incorrect (even though it’s rigorous and popular).
It seems to me that in the limit as the number of voters with “your algorithm” goes to zero, the TDT solution is the same as the CDT solution.
Yes, but it’s an unreasonable assumption in case of voting, and I don’t see how to generalize in the direction of acausal-under-logical-uncertainty control from a solution performed under this assumption. From what I currently understand, the question is, what can you predict about all voters (how would you estimate the outcome), if you assume that you actually make a certain voting decision (estimate this for all possible decisions). Such assumption can even weakly inform you about probable decisions of other voters that are rather loosely related to you, with the estimated probability of voting by person X being controlled by your decision less if you are less similar to X, but with (your understanding of decisions of) all people controlled to some extent.
I don’t know. I know that CDT commits irrecoverable error, but not how to understand the problem. (I can guess that my decision probably makes a difference of 0.01 to 20% in a two-choice vote of the typical kind, but this is not based on explicit analysis, hence wide interval.)
That I don’t know how to solve the problem doesn’t license me to privilege a “solution” that is known to be incorrect (even though it’s rigorous and popular).
Yes, but it’s an unreasonable assumption in case of voting, and I don’t see how to generalize in the direction of acausal-under-logical-uncertainty control from a solution performed under this assumption. From what I currently understand, the question is, what can you predict about all voters (how would you estimate the outcome), if you assume that you actually make a certain voting decision (estimate this for all possible decisions). Such assumption can even weakly inform you about probable decisions of other voters that are rather loosely related to you, with the estimated probability of voting by person X being controlled by your decision less if you are less similar to X, but with (your understanding of decisions of) all people controlled to some extent.