I am writing a post on scenario-based planning, and thought it would be useful to get some example scenario symptoms on the topic of near-term AGI.
So the scenario-based planning thought exercise goes like this:
Imagine it is ten years from now and AGI has happened (for the thought experiment just imagine you are looking at history from the outside and are capable of writing this even if all humans were turned into paperclips or whatever) and you are writing a post on how in retrospect it was obvious that AGI was just around the corner.
What symptoms of this do you see now? Contingent on this scenario being true, what symptoms would you expect in the next 10 years?
Bonus points if you write it from the point of view of your fictional self 10 years from now who has experianced this scenero.
[Question] What would it look like if it looked like AGI was very near?
I am writing a post on scenario-based planning, and thought it would be useful to get some example scenario symptoms on the topic of near-term AGI.
So the scenario-based planning thought exercise goes like this:
Imagine it is ten years from now and AGI has happened (for the thought experiment just imagine you are looking at history from the outside and are capable of writing this even if all humans were turned into paperclips or whatever) and you are writing a post on how in retrospect it was obvious that AGI was just around the corner.
What symptoms of this do you see now? Contingent on this scenario being true, what symptoms would you expect in the next 10 years?
Bonus points if you write it from the point of view of your fictional self 10 years from now who has experianced this scenero.