In academia, SB problem is resoundingly considered solved.
I am extremely skeptical. For one thing, you haven’t provided any evidence for this claim; you just asserted it. You link to one forthcoming paper that argues for thirderism but you haven’t given any reason to think academia resoundingly agrees with it.
For another, your argument here seems to be saying nothing new? Your claim that we should set P(B) = 1.5 is begging the question, no? Wouldn’t halfers object to that part of the argument? (And for now at least I’m inclined to agree with them on that point—probabilities are supposed to be between 0 and 1, by definition.)
I am extremely skeptical. For one thing, you haven’t provided any evidence for this claim; you just asserted it. You link to one forthcoming paper that argues for thirderism but you haven’t given any reason to think academia resoundingly agrees with it.
For another, your argument here seems to be saying nothing new? Your claim that we should set P(B) = 1.5 is begging the question, no? Wouldn’t halfers object to that part of the argument? (And for now at least I’m inclined to agree with them on that point—probabilities are supposed to be between 0 and 1, by definition.)