It is easy to make simple things complicate. It is extremely difficult to simplify the complicate issues. It is ever more difficult to understand the conclusion that looks simple.
Two years ago, I CONCLUED that the COVID can only be controlled by N95 or even better physical protection equipment. The posts I provided looks like a joke (someone do said it is a joke).
Today, do those posts look more reasonable? The key point is: the mutation of COVID is very fast and uncontrollable (at this stage). This is an obvious, but not easy to understand fact.
With the speed of double 1-3 days, I did not believe other details/aspects played any significant role. Only the transmission control/observe has relationship with the true reality.
It is easy to make simple things complicate. It is extremely difficult to simplify the complicate issues. It is ever more difficult to understand the conclusion that looks simple.
Two years ago, I CONCLUED that the COVID can only be controlled by N95 or even better physical protection equipment. The posts I provided looks like a joke (someone do said it is a joke).
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/xGHh4zeWJHp6tMzQ5/a-proof-of-the-existence-of-the-ending-moment-of-the-covid
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/QZtt9q6u7vaBjXgu3/equilibrium-point-of-the-social-evolution-under-the
Today, do those posts look more reasonable? The key point is: the mutation of COVID is very fast and uncontrollable (at this stage). This is an obvious, but not easy to understand fact.
https://www.reuters.com/business/healthcare-pharmaceuticals/omicron-cases-doubling-15-3-days-areas-with-local-spread-who-2021-12-18/
With the speed of double 1-3 days, I did not believe other details/aspects played any significant role. Only the transmission control/observe has relationship with the true reality.