I feel like I should make a bet, but it’s a poor habit to make bets on the tails of distributions. (Meaning I suspect that I’m slightly less sure I can’t do magick than others would be but I’m still pretty damn sure I can’t, at least not in a way that others would say could be legitimately described as magick.)
Based on http://predictionbook.com/predictions/3377 I’d think you’d have to assign at least a 5% chance that you can if I’m reading this correctly since this is only one possible method of using magic. Is 5% close enough to the tail that you don’t think bets should be made over it?
No, that’s a different reading of “can”; I guess by “can” I meant “I currently use magick but am unaware that I am doing so”; if we were talking about potential to learn magick then I’d have to put it at around 5%. Me unknowingly doing magick is more like a you know actually I’d rather not talk about that. Still probably a lot higher than others would guess but magnitudes lower than 5%.
I hate be the one to break this to you, Will, but… you can’t do magic. I’m sorry.
I feel like I should make a bet, but it’s a poor habit to make bets on the tails of distributions. (Meaning I suspect that I’m slightly less sure I can’t do magick than others would be but I’m still pretty damn sure I can’t, at least not in a way that others would say could be legitimately described as magick.)
Based on http://predictionbook.com/predictions/3377 I’d think you’d have to assign at least a 5% chance that you can if I’m reading this correctly since this is only one possible method of using magic. Is 5% close enough to the tail that you don’t think bets should be made over it?
No, that’s a different reading of “can”; I guess by “can” I meant “I currently use magick but am unaware that I am doing so”; if we were talking about potential to learn magick then I’d have to put it at around 5%. Me unknowingly doing magick is more like a you know actually I’d rather not talk about that. Still probably a lot higher than others would guess but magnitudes lower than 5%.
Are you willing/able to discuss the causes of your unusually high belief in magic?