OK, fair enough. But what if it writes, like, 20 posts in the first 20 days which are that good, but then afterwards it hits diminishing returns because the rationality-related points it makes are no longer particularly novel and exciting? I think this would happen to many humans if they could work at super-speed.
That said, I don’t think this is that likely I guess… probably AI will be unable to do even three such posts, or it’ll be able to generate arbitrary numbers of them. The human range is small. Maybe. Idk.
But what if it writes, like, 20 posts in the first 20 days which are that good, but then afterwards it hits diminishing returns because the rationality-related points it makes are no longer particularly novel and exciting?
I’d be pretty surprised if that happened. GPT-3 already knows way more facts than I do, and can mimic far more writing styles than I can. It seems like by the time it can write any good posts (without cherrypicking), it should quickly be able to write good posts on a variety of topics in a variety of different styles, which should let it scale well past 20 posts.
(In contrast, a specific person tends to write on 1-2 topics, in a single style, and not optimizing that hard for karma, and many still write tens of high-scoring posts.)
OK, fair enough. But what if it writes, like, 20 posts in the first 20 days which are that good, but then afterwards it hits diminishing returns because the rationality-related points it makes are no longer particularly novel and exciting? I think this would happen to many humans if they could work at super-speed.
That said, I don’t think this is that likely I guess… probably AI will be unable to do even three such posts, or it’ll be able to generate arbitrary numbers of them. The human range is small. Maybe. Idk.
I’d be pretty surprised if that happened. GPT-3 already knows way more facts than I do, and can mimic far more writing styles than I can. It seems like by the time it can write any good posts (without cherrypicking), it should quickly be able to write good posts on a variety of topics in a variety of different styles, which should let it scale well past 20 posts.
(In contrast, a specific person tends to write on 1-2 topics, in a single style, and not optimizing that hard for karma, and many still write tens of high-scoring posts.)