Answered the entire survey (except questions for U.S. residents).
I can’t see why Newcomb’s problem is a problem. Getting $1,001,000 by two-boxing is an outcome that just never happens, given Omega’s perfect prediction abilities. You should one-box.
The conditions of the problem state that Omega is a failproof predictor. If that’s the case, the paradox vanishes. Attempts to second-guess Omega’s choices only make sense if there’s a reason to doubt Omega’s powers.
If one outcome never happens (i.e. it is known that it will not happen in the future), then saying what you “should” do is a type error. There is only what you will do. One-boxing becomes a description, not a prescription.
One-boxing is not necessarily what you will do. You can still judge incorrectly, and choose to two-box, and end up with $1,000. That’s something you can still choose to do, but not what you should do.
Bosh. I don’t care how smart Omega thinks he is; if he claims to be a perfect predictor, I challenge him to some poker. ’Cause there can be no such animal.
Answered the entire survey (except questions for U.S. residents). I can’t see why Newcomb’s problem is a problem. Getting $1,001,000 by two-boxing is an outcome that just never happens, given Omega’s perfect prediction abilities. You should one-box.
What’s the method for submitting proposals for next surveys?
Yvain usually posts a post in Discussion about a month before the survey asking for such proposals.
I asked a question about this in a previous open thread but no one responded.
The conditions of the problem state that Omega is a failproof predictor. If that’s the case, the paradox vanishes. Attempts to second-guess Omega’s choices only make sense if there’s a reason to doubt Omega’s powers.
If one outcome never happens (i.e. it is known that it will not happen in the future), then saying what you “should” do is a type error. There is only what you will do. One-boxing becomes a description, not a prescription.
One-boxing is not necessarily what you will do. You can still judge incorrectly, and choose to two-box, and end up with $1,000. That’s something you can still choose to do, but not what you should do.
Bosh. I don’t care how smart Omega thinks he is; if he claims to be a perfect predictor, I challenge him to some poker. ’Cause there can be no such animal.
So that’s how Omega got the money for box B!