In situations when you don’t know about (potential) memory wipe or, more generally, in situations where you were lied to/not revealed all the necessary information about a setting, your probability estimate differs from a probability estimate of a person who knows all the relevant information. But I don’t see a reason to call one “subjective credence” and the other “objective probability”. Just different estimates based on different available information.
In any way, it’s not what happening in the Sleeping Beauty problem, where the Beauty is fully aware that her memories are to be erased, so the point is moot
I don’t see why. If someone is messing with you, eg. by wiping your memory, then your subjective credences could depart from objective probabilities.
In situations when you don’t know about (potential) memory wipe or, more generally, in situations where you were lied to/not revealed all the necessary information about a setting, your probability estimate differs from a probability estimate of a person who knows all the relevant information. But I don’t see a reason to call one “subjective credence” and the other “objective probability”. Just different estimates based on different available information.
In any way, it’s not what happening in the Sleeping Beauty problem, where the Beauty is fully aware that her memories are to be erased, so the point is moot