So, just to clarify: For you to be 100% convinced that there are no aliens on Earth, you would have to examine or be convinced that someone else had examined every stone and cloud on the planet, and found nothing that appeared to be non-Earthly in origin. Is that right?
So, just to clarify: For you to be 100% convinced that there are no aliens on Earth, you would have to examine or be convinced that someone else had examined every stone and cloud on the planet, and found nothing that appeared to be non-Earthly in origin. Is that right?
That would be true of a lot of people, so how about we set the weaker standard of being 99.99% convinced?
I’m writing a bayesian calculation on this. I will come back when I’m done. It will help me and others assess the probability of aliens on earth.