I don’t know, I’m not familiar with the history; probably zero. It’s a metaphor. The things the two scenarios are supposed to have in common are first-time-ness, danger, and technical difficulty. I point out in the post that the AGI scenario is actually irreducibly harder than first-time heavier-than-air flight: you can’t safely directly simulate intelligent computations themselves for testing, because then you’re just running the actual computation.
But as for the application of “green light” standards—the actual Wright brothers were only risking their own lives. Why should someone else need to judge their project for safety?
I don’t know, I’m not familiar with the history; probably zero. It’s a metaphor. The things the two scenarios are supposed to have in common are first-time-ness, danger, and technical difficulty. I point out in the post that the AGI scenario is actually irreducibly harder than first-time heavier-than-air flight: you can’t safely directly simulate intelligent computations themselves for testing, because then you’re just running the actual computation.
But as for the application of “green light” standards—the actual Wright brothers were only risking their own lives. Why should someone else need to judge their project for safety?