I’ll admit I have only been loosely following the control stuff, but FWIW I would be excited about a potential @peterbarnett & @ryan_greenblatt dialogue in which you two to try to identify & analyze any potential disagreements. Example questions:
What is the most capable system that you think we are likely to be able to control?
What kind of value do you think we could get out of such a system?
To what extent do you expect that system to be able to produce insights that help us escape the acute risk period (i.e., get out of a scenario where someone else can come along and build a catastrophe-capable system without implementing control procedures or someone else comes along and scales to the point where the control procedures are no longer sufficient)
I’ll admit I have only been loosely following the control stuff, but FWIW I would be excited about a potential @peterbarnett & @ryan_greenblatt dialogue in which you two to try to identify & analyze any potential disagreements. Example questions:
What is the most capable system that you think we are likely to be able to control?
What kind of value do you think we could get out of such a system?
To what extent do you expect that system to be able to produce insights that help us escape the acute risk period (i.e., get out of a scenario where someone else can come along and build a catastrophe-capable system without implementing control procedures or someone else comes along and scales to the point where the control procedures are no longer sufficient)
(You might be interested in the Dialogue I already did with habryka.)