I don’t think the probability calculation is meaningful because the infinities mess it up. But you still need to ask, are you in the original 2010 or one of infinitely many possible ways to be in a simulated 2010? I can’t assign a probability; but I have a strong intuition when comparing one to infinite.
I don’t think the probability calculation is meaningful because the infinities mess it up. But you still need to ask, are you in the original 2010 or one of infinitely many possible ways to be in a simulated 2010? I can’t assign a probability; but I have a strong intuition when comparing one to infinite.