You also need to include scenarios for infinitely-high towers, or closed-loop towers, or branching and merging networks, or one simulation being run in several (perhaps infinitely many) simulating worlds, or the other way around...
I don’t think we can assign a meaningful prior to any of these, and so we can’t calculate the probability of being in a simulation.
I don’t think the probability calculation is meaningful because the infinities mess it up. But you still need to ask, are you in the original 2010 or one of infinitely many possible ways to be in a simulated 2010? I can’t assign a probability; but I have a strong intuition when comparing one to infinite.
You also need to include scenarios for infinitely-high towers, or closed-loop towers, or branching and merging networks, or one simulation being run in several (perhaps infinitely many) simulating worlds, or the other way around...
I don’t think we can assign a meaningful prior to any of these, and so we can’t calculate the probability of being in a simulation.
I don’t think the probability calculation is meaningful because the infinities mess it up. But you still need to ask, are you in the original 2010 or one of infinitely many possible ways to be in a simulated 2010? I can’t assign a probability; but I have a strong intuition when comparing one to infinite.