You’re not preaching, you’re noticing you are confused. Which is good.
I am not confused here, because the media is running stories about kids ending up in the ICU and most people don’t think about base rates, so it’s unsurprising that many parents think like this. Also see satanic child abuse cults, or stranger danger, or poisoned Halloween candy, etc etc.
You’re right. I think this is shocking me because it affects so many people I know and generally expect to be more calibrated in their beliefs, and the all-too-common handwaving of “we don’t know enough about COVID” is not a free pass to be overcautious. That is, people I expect better from are overestimating the risk of the virus to a similar degree that anti-vaxxers are underestimating the risk of the virus/overestimating the risks of the vaccine, which is genuinely dangerous. Mixed messaging from the CDC and news establishments isn’t helping either.
You’re not preaching, you’re noticing you are confused. Which is good.
I am not confused here, because the media is running stories about kids ending up in the ICU and most people don’t think about base rates, so it’s unsurprising that many parents think like this. Also see satanic child abuse cults, or stranger danger, or poisoned Halloween candy, etc etc.
You’re right. I think this is shocking me because it affects so many people I know and generally expect to be more calibrated in their beliefs, and the all-too-common handwaving of “we don’t know enough about COVID” is not a free pass to be overcautious. That is, people I expect better from are overestimating the risk of the virus to a similar degree that anti-vaxxers are underestimating the risk of the virus/overestimating the risks of the vaccine, which is genuinely dangerous. Mixed messaging from the CDC and news establishments isn’t helping either.
There are two types of antivaxxers. Those who had covid and recovered and those who did not.
The ones that had covid and recovered do not underestimate the risk of the virus to themselves.