We are being Bayesian. It’s a hypothesis that explains the visible evidence very well. It also has a relatively high prior probability (a few percent).
Can you show what priors you used, how you calculated the posteriors, what numbers you got and where the input numbers came from? I highly doubt that hypothesis has a higher posterior probability.
We are being Bayesian. It’s a hypothesis that explains the visible evidence very well. It also has a relatively high prior probability (a few percent).
Can you show what priors you used, how you calculated the posteriors, what numbers you got and where the input numbers came from? I highly doubt that hypothesis has a higher posterior probability.