This is a rationalization. You have just dressed your conclusion in the attire of Bayes, not used Bayes to infer (communicate) the conclusion. The adept of chaos will just reply that O is logical nonsense, and so P(O) doesn’t stand a chance.
This is a rationalization. You have just dressed your conclusion in the attire of Bayes, not used Bayes to infer (communicate) the conclusion. The adept of chaos will just reply that O is logical nonsense, and so P(O) doesn’t stand a chance.