Yes, it’s possible too. I used “causing” referring to a direct link: some predictions are of the form “event X will happen before date D”, and you lose points if you fail to revise your estimates as D draws nearer.
Apparently many people weren’t aware of this aspect—they took a “fire and forget” approach to prediction. (That is in itself an interesting lesson.) That was before the leaderboard was set up.
Yes, it’s possible too. I used “causing” referring to a direct link: some predictions are of the form “event X will happen before date D”, and you lose points if you fail to revise your estimates as D draws nearer.
Apparently many people weren’t aware of this aspect—they took a “fire and forget” approach to prediction. (That is in itself an interesting lesson.) That was before the leaderboard was set up.