Which would be harder for you to take: (1) What shminux said is true, or (2) Your fears are justified? My attempt at arm-chair diagnostics is that you have gotten yourself into a trap where either you are right which is bad, or you are not analyzing problems as logically as you think which is also bad.
shminux might not be right, but given your information set I think you have to assign a reasonably high probability to him being right, and not doing this is a sign you are not looking at the situation rationally which means you should assign even a higher probability to him being right.
shminux might not be right, but given your information set I think you have to assign a reasonably high probability to him being right, and not doing this is a sign you are not looking at the situation rationally which means you should assign even a higher probability to him being right.
Given that multiple people pointed out that the problem might be with you and not with the universe, consider assigning a non-small probability that this is indeed the case and talk to the people who can fix you. Imagine the payoff: “you would be thrilled”. The alternative you have been pursuing so far clearly isn’t working—maybe it’s time to face reality.
Which would be harder for you to take: (1) What shminux said is true, or (2) Your fears are justified? My attempt at arm-chair diagnostics is that you have gotten yourself into a trap where either you are right which is bad, or you are not analyzing problems as logically as you think which is also bad.
shminux might not be right, but given your information set I think you have to assign a reasonably high probability to him being right, and not doing this is a sign you are not looking at the situation rationally which means you should assign even a higher probability to him being right.
Absolutely I would be thrilled if he was right.
I think this is circular reasoning...?
Given that multiple people pointed out that the problem might be with you and not with the universe, consider assigning a non-small probability that this is indeed the case and talk to the people who can fix you. Imagine the payoff: “you would be thrilled”. The alternative you have been pursuing so far clearly isn’t working—maybe it’s time to face reality.