I wonder if 20 years from now we will look back at these posts and be amazed about how a community that considers itself to be la crème de la crème at epistemology, ended up believing in the end of the world coming on our lifetime, as so many other religions before. I sincerely prefer that to the alternative.
Note that an observer must always see that all previous prophets of existential doom were wrong. (Yay anthropics. I’m not sure if or how much this should change our reasoning though.)
I wonder if 20 years from now we will look back at these posts and be amazed about how a community that considers itself to be la crème de la crème at epistemology, ended up believing in the end of the world coming on our lifetime, as so many other religions before. I sincerely prefer that to the alternative.
Note that an observer must always see that all previous prophets of existential doom were wrong. (Yay anthropics. I’m not sure if or how much this should change our reasoning though.)
Hopefully in 20 years we can be reasonably confident that doom is never coming.
That’s certainly the way to bet!