It may end up that way, but it will be much more of a lottery than today.
Basically, today you get some feedback along the way. As a junior, either you make junior salary which means you are doing well for a junior, and perhaps a few years later you will qualify for a senior and start getting senior salary. But if things go wrong, then either you never get the senior salary… but at least you got paid the junior salary for a few years, so your effort paid off at least somewhat; or you can’t even find a junior job, which sucks, but at least you wasted less time.
In the “senior or bust” system, you need to spend a lot of time studying and practicing first, and the first feedback that you wasted all that time and money can come a decade later. Sounds like only a quantitative difference, but I assume that expert piano tuners are rare (I may be wrong here), so the quantitative difference may become a difference between “there are a few” and “there is none”.
Educational loans are the obvious answer, and are why I’m not worried about these kinds of arguments.
It may end up that way, but it will be much more of a lottery than today.
Basically, today you get some feedback along the way. As a junior, either you make junior salary which means you are doing well for a junior, and perhaps a few years later you will qualify for a senior and start getting senior salary. But if things go wrong, then either you never get the senior salary… but at least you got paid the junior salary for a few years, so your effort paid off at least somewhat; or you can’t even find a junior job, which sucks, but at least you wasted less time.
In the “senior or bust” system, you need to spend a lot of time studying and practicing first, and the first feedback that you wasted all that time and money can come a decade later. Sounds like only a quantitative difference, but I assume that expert piano tuners are rare (I may be wrong here), so the quantitative difference may become a difference between “there are a few” and “there is none”.