It is worth noting that the same virus with a higher IFR doesn’t obviously kill more people, especially if it kills children, because there would be a more aggressive reaction. Very possible it gets squashed entirely.
And if we had a similarly deadly disease with much more spread, we’d have been forced into herd immunity strategy quickly. Which again, isn’t obviously better or worse as an outcome.
If both were much worse, of course, that would be much much worse.
If COVID were 3x higher on either parameter, it probably wouldn’t have led to a more effective US federal response. My guess is that it would just have been a much bigger crisis.
It is worth noting that the same virus with a higher IFR doesn’t obviously kill more people, especially if it kills children, because there would be a more aggressive reaction. Very possible it gets squashed entirely.
And if we had a similarly deadly disease with much more spread, we’d have been forced into herd immunity strategy quickly. Which again, isn’t obviously better or worse as an outcome.
If both were much worse, of course, that would be much much worse.
If COVID were 3x higher on either parameter, it probably wouldn’t have led to a more effective US federal response. My guess is that it would just have been a much bigger crisis.